Understanding the Rise of the Radical Right

Syllabus

Instructor

Tim Wappenhans

Published

05.06.2024

General

Course

  • Thu 10:00 – 14:00
  • Universitätsstr. 3b, Room 205
  • Moodle: moodle.hu-berlin.de
  • Course Number: 53046
  • Password: covfefe_2024

Instructor

Goals

This is an advanced class on political behavior and party competition. We will examine contemporary, empirical literature that tries to understand different causes for radical right voting, the effects of radical right actors on society. The focus of the literature rests on the US and Europe. The rise of the radical right is a topic with far reaching ramifications for society and we will discuss those. However, as a quantitative researcher I strongly believe that this discussion must be informed by evidence. I assume that you are comfortable engaging with quantitative research that is increasingly focused on causally identifying effects. That is, you should have completed the methods section of our BA program or any other course that gives you basic understanding of statistical models and design based thinking. If you haven’t, you are still very welcome but I expect that you are willing to learn about those concepts as we go. After completing the course, you will be equipped with the knowledge to criticize existing research, find gaps in the literature, and follow your own research agenda.

Requirements

Again, I want to stress that we will engage with quantitative research in every session. Your final paper will also be based on data analysis so please keep this in mind. You will earn a total of 10 Credit Points (CP) in this course. That is the result of 250 hours of work which is distributed across these requirements:

  1. Active Participation 💬 (2 CP)
  2. Reading 📚 (2 CP)
  3. Reading Diary 📔 (1 CP)
  4. Non-academic input 🎨 (1 CP)
  5. Research Proposal 💭 (1 CP)
  6. Final Paper ✏️ (3 CP)

1. Active Participation 💬

This is the backbone of our course. Without your engagement the whole thing will be dreadfully boring and uninspiring. This puts the spotlight on you. I expect you to come prepared to class. That means you should read the literature and get an idea about what you understand and what you don’t. The next two points should help you in this regard. (2 CP)

2. Reading 📚

Each week, we have three contemporaneous articles from high quality from political science or general interest journals. Engage with the literature before our sessions. Be critical and question the logic of the argument brought forward as well as the data and analysis provided. I can’t recommend Macartan Humphreys’ advice on how to read scientific papers enough (macartan.github.io). (2 CP)

3. Reading Diary 📔

On moodle, you will find an excel file reading_diary.xlsx. For Sessions 03-13, take one text that you really want to understand deeper and fill out the following columns

  • Research question
  • Main argument
  • Theoretical mechanism
  • Evidence
  • Critique
  • Open questions

Upload your reading diary before the respective session, named lastname_session.xlsx. So for example wappenhans_03.xlsx for Session 03, wappenhans_04.xlsx for Session 04 etc, so that the excel file grows every week. You can skip one week without excuse. (1 CP)

4. Non-academic input 🎨

For one session, you will have to prepare a non-academic input. That is, show us something that connects your real-life experience and the scientific texts we have read for the session. This can be a newspaper article, a podcast, a YouTube video, a story. Anything that strikes a chord with you when you have read the papers for the week.

No matter the form of your input, please put a picture of it on a PDF and explain why you chose it. Upload this PDF before your session on moodle.

Also, please fill in your name on google drive to coordinate the sessions. (1 CP)

5. Research Proposal 💭

For our last session (July 18 2024), we will have a little conference where you will present a research proposal for your final paper and give feedback to your colleagues. Giving and getting feedback is an elementary part of academia. It’s also a pretty fun part…usually. Either way, it will help your process tremendously. We will start early thinking about your final paper and workshop your ideas together. In this proposal

  • state your research question
  • briefly describe your argument and theoretical mechanism
  • as well as some falsifiable expectations
  • what data you could use
  • and what empirical strategy you could apply to test your expectations

The proposal should be around a page long. Please upload your research proposal as a PDF on moodle.

In this conference, you will not only be presenting but also give feedback on a proposal from your peers. More on this later in the course. (1 CP)

6. Final Paper ✏️

The final part of this course is a paper of 40,000 characters, not counting spaces. This paper is what your final grade will be based on. After completing the course, we will have seen where the political behavior literature on the radical right stands. At the same time, you will hopefully have found some questions to remain unanswered. Your final term paper will engage with one of those unanswered questions empirically. This is an undergrad course and there will be limitations to what you can do. Don’t worry about that. Rather, be transparent about potential pitfalls and shortcomings. Macartan Humphreys has great advice on how to write a paper (macartan.github.io).

We will learn more about what makes a great paper during the course but in short, I expect you to

  • find a concise research question
  • motivated by discussing the current state of the political science literature (that is, peer reviewed journal articles and scientific books)
  • that’s substantively relevant
  • develop an argument that comes from the theory
  • and articulate precise, falsifiable expectations
  • find data to test these expectations

Please also send your R script or Stata Do-File for replication. Whatever typesetting software you use, convert your file to PDF before uploading it to moodle. (3 CP)

Course Structure

I image our sessions to look like this: we will have in-depth discussions about the literature in the first half of our day. After a coffee or quick lunch break, we’ll come back and see how your non-academic input speaks to what we’ve learned from the literature. After that we will have some time for you to workshop your ideas and for me to show you tools that can help you in your academic process.

Time What’s happening
10.15 - 11.45 Discussing texts
11.45 - 12.15 🥡
12.15 - 13.00 Discussing non-academic inputs
13.00 - 13.45 Tools for academic process

Course Plan

Attention! Bold dates are Fridays!
Session Date Literature Tools
01 Intro 18.04
02 Overview 25.04. Bonikowski (2017); Golder (2016) How to read
03 Economic Hardship 02.05. Funke, Schularick, and Trebesch (2016); Kates and Tucker (2019) Literature Review
04 No class 09.05. National Holiday
05 Cultural Anxiety 16.05. Ivarsflaten (2008); Mutz (2018) Finding RQ I
06 Gender Attitudes 23.05. Green and Shorrocks (2023); Anduiza and Rico (2024) occupation
07 Political Geography 30.05. Ziblatt, Hilbig, and Bischof (2023); Cremaschi, Bariletto, and Vries (2023) occupation
08 Deep Dive 06.06. Hochschild (2018), Part I and Part II, plus Chapters 9, 15 and 16 Tools for Writing
09 Supply Side 13.06. Arzheimer and Carter (2006); Abou-Chadi and Krause (2020) Finding RQ II
10 Legitimization 20.06. Valentim (2021); Riaz, Bischof, and Wagner (2023) Data Sources
11 Ramifications 28.06. (Fri) Bellodi, Morelli, and Vannoni (2024); Bischof and Wagner (2019) Workshop RQ I
12 No class 04.07. EPSA
13 What to do 11.07. Fishkin et al. (2024); tba Kollberg Workshop RQ II
14 Conference 19.07. (Fri)

References

Abou-Chadi, Tarik, and Werner Krause. 2020. “The Causal Effect of Radical Right Success on Mainstream PartiesPolicy Positions: A Regression Discontinuity Approach.” British Journal of Political Science 50 (3): 829–47. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123418000029.
Anduiza, Eva, and Guillem Rico. 2024. “Sexism and the Far-Right Vote: The Individual Dynamics of Gender Backlash.” American Journal of Political Science 68 (2): 478–93. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12759.
Arzheimer, Kai, and Elisabeth Carter. 2006. “Political Opportunity Structures and Right-Wing Extremist Party Success.” European Journal of Political Research 45 (3): 419–43. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.2006.00304.x.
Bellodi, Luca, Massimo Morelli, and Matia Vannoni. 2024. “A Costly Commitment: Populism, Economic Performance, and the Quality of Bureaucracy.” American Journal of Political Science 68 (1): 193–209. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12782.
Bischof, Daniel, and Markus Wagner. 2019. “Do Voters Polarize When Radical Parties Enter Parliament?” American Journal of Political Science 63 (4): 888–904. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12449.
Bonikowski, Bart. 2017. “Ethno-Nationalist Populism and the Mobilization of Collective Resentment.” The British Journal of Sociology 68 (S1): S181–213. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-4446.12325.
Cremaschi, Simone, Nicola Bariletto, and Catherine E. De Vries. 2023. “Without Roots: The Political Consequences of Plant Disease Epidemics.” OSF. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/brx38.
Fishkin, James, Valentin Bolotnyy, Joshua Lerner, Alice Siu, and Norman Bradburn. 2024. “Can Deliberation Have Lasting Effects?” American Political Science Review, February, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055423001363.
Funke, Manuel, Moritz Schularick, and Christoph Trebesch. 2016. “Going to Extremes: Politics After Financial Crises, 1870–2014.” European Economic Review, SI: The Post-Crisis Slump, 88 (September): 227–60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.03.006.
Golder, Matt. 2016. “Far Right Parties in Europe.” Annual Review of Political Science 19 (Volume 19, 2016): 477–97. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-042814-012441.
Green, Jane, and Rosalind Shorrocks. 2023. “The Gender Backlash in the Vote for Brexit.” Political Behavior 45 (1): 347–71. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-021-09704-y.
Hochschild, Arlie Russell. 2018. Strangers in Their Own Land: Anger and Mourning on the American Right. The New Press.
Ivarsflaten, Elisabeth. 2008. “What Unites Right-Wing Populists in Western Europe?: Re-Examining Grievance Mobilization Models in Seven Successful Cases.” Comparative Political Studies 41 (1): 3–23. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414006294168.
Kates, Sean, and Joshua A. Tucker. 2019. “We Never Change, Do We? Economic Anxiety and Far-Right Identification in a Postcrisis Europe*.” Social Science Quarterly 100 (2): 494–523. https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.12597.
Mutz, Diana C. 2018. “Status Threat, Not Economic Hardship, Explains the 2016 Presidential Vote.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (19): E4330–39. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1718155115.
Riaz, Sascha, Daniel Bischof, and Markus Wagner. 2023. “Out-Group Threat and Xenophobic Hate Crimes: Evidence of Local Intergroup Conflict Dynamics Between Immigrants and Natives.” The Journal of Politics, August. https://doi.org/10.1086/726948.
Valentim, Vicente. 2021. “Parliamentary Representation and the Normalization of Radical Right Support.” Comparative Political Studies 54 (14): 2475–2511. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414021997159.
Ziblatt, Daniel, Hanno Hilbig, and Daniel Bischof. 2023. “Wealth of Tongues: Why Peripheral Regions Vote for the Radical Right in Germany.” American Political Science Review, October, 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055423000862.